{"id":430,"date":"2018-03-01T21:07:57","date_gmt":"2018-03-02T02:07:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gopplaybook.com\/?p=430"},"modified":"2018-03-03T21:15:03","modified_gmt":"2018-03-04T02:15:03","slug":"taxpayers-youve-been-scammed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gopplaybook.com\/?p=430","title":{"rendered":"Taxpayers, You\u2019ve Been Scammed"},"content":{"rendered":"<header id=\"story-header\" class=\"story-header\">\n<div id=\"story-meta\" class=\"story-meta \">\n<h1 id=\"headline\" class=\"headline\"><a style=\"font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: 16px;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/by\/paul-krugman\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Paul Krugman\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2014\/11\/12\/opinion\/krugman-circular\/krugman-circular-thumbLarge-v7.jpg?ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/h1>\n<div id=\"story-meta-footer\" class=\"story-meta-footer\">\n<div class=\"extended-byline\">\n<div class=\"byline-meta\">\n<p class=\"byline-column has-single-author\"><a class=\"byline-column-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/column\/paul-krugman\">Paul Krugman<\/a>\u00a0<time class=\"dateline\" datetime=\"2018-03-02T19:34:25-05:00\">MARCH 1, 2018<\/time><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-meta-footer-sharetools\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"story-body-supplemental\">\n<div class=\"story-body story-body-1\">\n<figure id=\"media-100000005773956\" class=\"media photo lede layout-large-horizontal\" role=\"group\" data-media-action=\"modal\" aria-label=\"media\">\n<div class=\"image\">\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"media-viewer-candidate\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2018\/03\/03\/opinion\/02krugmanWeb\/merlin_134775410_4e894d4c-56ce-411b-8981-b76337e65963-master768.jpg?ssl=1\" alt=\"\" data-mediaviewer-src=\"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2018\/03\/03\/opinion\/02krugmanWeb\/merlin_134775410_4e894d4c-56ce-411b-8981-b76337e65963-superJumbo.jpg\" data-mediaviewer-caption=\"President Trump with the just-signed tax law in December.\" data-mediaviewer-credit=\"Doug Mills\/The New York Times\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"media-action-overlay\"><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"caption\"><span class=\"caption-text\">President Trump with the just-signed tax law in December.<\/span>\u00a0<span class=\"credit\"><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Credit<\/span>Doug Mills\/The New York Times<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"323\" data-total-count=\"323\">So you go out for dinner with a wealthy acquaintance. \u201cI\u2019ll take care of everything,\u201d he says, and orders you a hamburger. Then he orders himself an expensive steak and a bottle of wine, which he doesn\u2019t share. And when the waiter comes with the check, he points at you and says, \u201cCharge it to his credit card.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"98\" data-total-count=\"421\">Now you understand the essence of the Trump tax cut, signed into law a little over two months ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"131\" data-total-count=\"552\">The key thing you need to know is that right now the U.S. government has no business cutting taxes. We need more revenue, not less.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"408\" data-total-count=\"960\">Why? The federal government, as an old line says, is a giant insurance company with an army. Most of its costs come from Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid \u2014 and all three programs are becoming more expensive as ever more baby boomers\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/SPPOPDPNDOLUSA\">reach retirement age<\/a>. This means that unless we cut back sharply on benefits that middle-class Americans count on, we will need to raise more revenue than in the past.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"382\" data-total-count=\"1342\">Yet even before the tax cut, federal tax receipts were\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/FYFRGDA188S\">looking weak<\/a>\u00a0for an economy with low unemployment and a rising stock market \u2014 for example, far lower as a percentage of G.D.P. than the tax take during the Clinton boom of the 1990s, and even a bit lower than they were at the end of the Bush-era expansion. The tax cut will push them lower still. Something will have to give.<\/p>\n<p id=\"story-continues-1\" class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"354\" data-total-count=\"1696\">And we already know what will give, if Republicans get their way: programs that benefit working Americans. In fact, the usual suspects like Paul Ryan were talking about the need for \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/house\/363642-ryan-pledges-entitlement-reform-in-2018\">entitlement reform<\/a>\u201d \u2014 meaning cuts in Medicare and Medicaid \u2014 to reduce deficits even as they were passing a huge tax cut that will make those deficits much worse.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Hence my analogy about the guy who \u201cgives\u201d you a hamburger, then bills it to your credit card. Ryan celebrated the tax cut with a\u00a0<\/span><a style=\"font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-fix\/wp\/2018\/02\/03\/paul-ryan-celebrated-the-tax-cut-with-a-tweet-about-a-secretary-saving-1-50-a-week\/?utm_term=.28153c79a887\">tweet about a teacher<\/a><span style=\"font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">saving $1.50 a week on her taxes; that\u2019s like saying you should feel grateful for a \u201cgift\u201d that\u2019s actually being charged to your own credit card. How\u2019s that $75-a-year saving going to look when the teacher finds out that, partly because of that tax cut, her mother\u2019s Medicare plan has been converted into an inadequate voucher system and Medicaid won\u2019t pay for her father\u2019s nursing home care?<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-body-supplemental\">\n<div class=\"story-body story-body-2\">\n<div id=\"newsletter-promo\" class=\"newsletter-signup variant-1-hidden \" data-newsletter-productcode=\"TY\" data-newsletter-producttitle=\"Opinion Today\" aria-labeledby=\"newsletter-promo-heading\">\n<p class=\"summary\">Every weekday, get thought-provoking commentary from Op-Ed columnists, the Times editorial board and contributing writers from around the world.<span style=\"font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"495\" data-total-count=\"2755\">Meanwhile, about your companion\u2019s steak dinner: Most of the tax cut actually consisted of huge tax breaks for corporations, which is in effect a big tax cut for stockholders. And while many Americans own a bit of stock via their retirement accounts, even if you include these indirect holdings,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w20733.pdf\">more than 80 percent of stocks<\/a>\u00a0are owned by the wealthiest 10 percent of the population. So on the face of it, the wealthy are giving themselves a big gift, and sending the bill to the middle class.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"189\" data-total-count=\"2944\">Now, the tax cut\u2019s defenders insist that it won\u2019t really work that way, that the benefits of lower corporate taxes will trickle down to workers instead. How\u2019s that supposed to happen?<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"308\" data-total-count=\"3252\">Well, the theory is that lower corporate taxes will draw in lots of money from overseas, which corporations will invest in new plants and equipment, which will drive up the demand for labor, which will raise wages. And to be fair, there\u2019s probably something to this theory \u2014 something, but not very much.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"330\" data-total-count=\"3582\">First of all, even if the process were to work as advertised, it would take a long time \u2014 probably decades. Even the most optimistic analyses suggest that there would be little effect on wages for the first few years, which means that for now what looks like a tax break for the wealthy is, in fact, a tax break for the wealthy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"418\" data-total-count=\"4000\">Second, the story relies on a long chain of events with multiple weak links. For example, corporations with monopoly power won\u2019t see lower taxes as a reason to invest more; they\u2019ll just take the money. Meanwhile, there\u2019s growing evidence that big employers are\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/02\/28\/opinion\/corporate-america-suppressing-wages.html\">using their power to suppress wages<\/a>; cutting their taxes won\u2019t change that fact. So even in the long run we shouldn\u2019t expect a lot of trickle-down.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"488\" data-total-count=\"4488\">But wait \u2014 weren\u2019t there a lot of stories about companies using the tax cut to give their workers bonuses? Yes, there were \u2014 but only because the news media let themselves get played. Most of those bonuses would have happened anyway: In an economy with low unemployment, there are always some companies deciding to pay a bit more to attract workers. But companies had every incentive to pretend that the tax cut was responsible, if only to curry favor with the Trump administration.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"343\" data-total-count=\"4831\">And in any case the bonus hype was out of all proportion to the reality. So far, we\u2019ve seen about\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2018\/02\/16\/investing\/stock-buybacks-tax-law-bonuses\/index.html\">$6 billion in bonuses<\/a>\u00a0versus more than $170 billion in stock buybacks, that is, handing money to wealthy stockholders. And money spent on buybacks is money that isn\u2019t being invested in plants and equipment, the supposed point of the tax cut.<\/h3>\n<p id=\"story-continues-4\" class=\"story-body-text story-content\" data-para-count=\"304\" data-total-count=\"5135\">So the message to middle-class taxpayers is, if you think you were helped by the tax cut, think again. Donald Trump and his allies pretended to give you a gift, but they gave themselves and their wealthy patrons much bigger gifts \u2014 and they\u2019re going to stick you with the bill. You\u2019ve been scammed.<\/p>\n<footer class=\"story-footer story-content\">\n<div class=\"story-meta\">\n<div class=\"story-info\">\n<p>Follow me on Twitter (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PaulKrugman\">@PaulKrugman<\/a>) and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/PaulKrugmanNYT\/\">Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Krugman\u00a0MARCH 1, 2018 President Trump with the just-signed tax law in December.\u00a0CreditDoug Mills\/The New York Times So you go out for dinner with a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":431,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-national-politics","category-presidential-politics"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.gopplaybook.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/2018-03-03_21-10-09.jpg?fit=767%2C527&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8VBh7-6W","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":816,"url":"https:\/\/www.gopplaybook.com\/?p=816","url_meta":{"origin":430,"position":0},"title":"Putting the Ex-Con in Conservatism","author":"Donnie","date":"March 26, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Paul Krugman\u00a0MARCH 26, 2018 Don Blankenship, second left, was sentenced to prison for conspiring to violate mine safety standards. He appears now to have a real chance in the Republican party\u2019s primary in the West Virginia Senate race.CreditF. 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Brennan responded Saturday to a tweet\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;National News&quot;","block_context":{"text":"National News","link":"https:\/\/www.gopplaybook.com\/?cat=21"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.gopplaybook.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/2018-03-17_21-08-45.jpg?fit=785%2C514&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.gopplaybook.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/2018-03-17_21-08-45.jpg?fit=785%2C514&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.gopplaybook.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/2018-03-17_21-08-45.jpg?fit=785%2C514&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.gopplaybook.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/2018-03-17_21-08-45.jpg?fit=785%2C514&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":898,"url":"https:\/\/www.gopplaybook.com\/?p=898","url_meta":{"origin":430,"position":2},"title":"House Speaker Paul Ryan will not seek reelection","author":"Donnie","date":"April 11, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"By\u00a0Robert Costa,\u00a0Seung Min Kim\u00a0and\u00a0John Wagner House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) 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